Climate in Crisis: Are We the Ostrich or Hawk?
The Climate in Crisis panel at the Los Angeles Times book festival had far more concurrence than conflict, agreeing that the challenge before us is great and immediate, and that decisive action is required. None of us prescribed an easy fix — technology alone will not save us, as many seem to hope (Electric cars! Solar panels! Clean {sic} coal!). Change has to be as systemic as the problem itself, or solutions will evade us.
Foreign correspondent Stephan Faris, who was inspired to write Forecast after witnessing climate-change-induced suffering in Darfur, offered the starkest of reminders: Change is coming, no matter what we do. We can act to limit the global warming we already have set in motion, or we can let it go unchecked and gather strength For all those who complain of the cost of reducing our carbon footprint , Faris warned that doing nothing also will carry a cost. A heavy cost. (See the Stern Report and its conclusion that not acting on climate change will cost us $7 trillion in the next 40 years — 20 percent of all the money in the world).
Dan Sperling, director of UC Davis’s Institute of Transportation Studies and author of Two Billion Cars, asserted that a shift to new electric, hybrid and other alternative fuel vehicles is inevitable and will provide a big part of the climate solution, but only if state and federal policies are put in place to nurture and encourage that shift sooner rather than later. On the other hand, Bill Kelly, coauthor of Smogtown, a history of Los Angeles air, suggested the technology for clean and green transportation has been available for more than a decade, yet hasn’t gone mainstream. He chalked this up not to bad tech or lack of policies, but as a matter of values: Too many people want suburban sprawl and the lifestyle it offers, even it it comes with a long commute, and they have sought vehicles that gave them long-range mobility. To Kelly, the signficant part of the battle (not the only part, just a big part) is climate change vs. value change.
As for my perspective, there is merit in all these positions — all, in essence, are correct. But let’s take it a step further: We have the technology, legal framework and the economic incentive to act now to alter our wasteful, global-warming ways. In transportation, energy, land use and sprawl — all the pieces are there, right now, except the will to act decisively.
Here’s the problem: Those who have argued that action against global warming will be too expensive can advance this argument only because we — the media, our leaders, the public — let them conceal the true cost of our current system (also some of them make up their “facts.”).
The hidden costs of, for example, gasoline powered cars are enormous: those costs include the proven health effects of smog and toxic auto emissions; the elevated heart disease, lung disease, premature births and cancer rates near our freeways; the spiraling childhood asthma rates and other lung ailments in our urban areas; the damage to our infrastructure, buildings, even house paint that pollutants associated with transportation cause. Now, who bears that cost? Is it reflected in the current price of gasoline? No. But why is that? If an ordinary citizen does something to make his neighbor sick, and does it knowingly, and doesn’t stop doing it even after the harm is revealed, that person can be held legally liable. He can be compelled to pay, and rightly so. Do carmakers pay for the damage done to health and environment by their cars and the fuel they burn? Do the oil companies? No.
And so, we are subsidizing the apparent low cost of gas and cars. We are paying for it in our sky-high health care and insurance costs, in our tax dollars, and in our lives and the lives of our children. That is the true cost of our current love affair with the internal combustion engine, coming out of consumers’ pockets, so that the hidden but very real cost of gas, right now, ranges from $5 a gallon to $15 a gallon, depending on who’s doing the estimating. Former Cal EPA Chief Terry Tamminen, who is profiled in Eco Barons, puts the cost at about $10 a gallon. We ignore this because “the argument of hidden costs” has so far prevailed in our discourse, skewing the debate, focusing on the price at the pump, which is only a fraction of the cost of the pump. A reality based cost-analysis shows that we will save money, not to mention lives, as we shift to renewable energy and clean cars.
The debate has been skewed in another way: There is a bedrock assumption — a false assumption — that Congress must create new laws to deal with climate change, and so we must wait for the compromised piece of legislation to emerge. The result inevitably will be far too little, far too late. Jim Hansen of NASA calls current legislative proposals little more than greenwash. The truth is that, while the right new laws would be very helpful, we have no need to stand still while we wait. There are powerful laws already in place — dating back 30 years or more — that give us most of the tools we need to act decisively on climate change right now. Indeed, we could have done so many years ago, and it is a scandal and a national shame that we have not.
First there is the Clean Air Act of 1970, which gives the federal government the power to regulate greenhouse gas emissions. The US Supreme Court decided this in April 2007 in Massachusetts v. EPA. The court ordered the Bush Administration to put this sweeping power to use, but the president refused to act. Now it’s up to President Obama, who has taken the first steps to comply with the law. But more must be done, and soon — which comes back to this matter of values, not only those of our leaders, but the rest of us as well. Do we want a forceful regulation of greenhouse gas emissions, which will have a good chance of saving our world for our children and grandchildren — but which inevitably will require fundamental changes in how we obtain and use energy? Will we back such efforts, or well we side with the opposition, once again succumbing to the argument of hidden costs?
The second legal tool against climate change is the Endangered Species Act of 1973, under which the Bush Administration reluctantly extended protections to the polar bear, with a finding that global warming was the extinction threat. This was a pivotal finding, because it gives the government the power and responsibilty to limit the damage to endangered animals and their habitats caused by global warming. Bush issued a rule at the end of his term intended to be a poison pill against using endangered species protections to regulate climate change; Obama has hinted he would repeal that “midnight rule,” but he has yet to do so, despite congressional authority to revoke the Bush rules with the stroke of a pen. This poses a major test of our new president’s commitment to environmentalism. And he must decide this in the next 11 days, when the congressional permission expires.
Truly following the intent of the Endangered Species Act would, once again, require a fundamental shift away from oil and coal, and toward renewable energy, electric cars, smart buildings and developments. But coupled with the Clean Air Act, it is potentially a powerful tool for bringing about that change.
Such change can’t happen all at once, of course, but it is now incumbent on the government to help put a gradual shift in motion by providing incentives and rewards for the clean and green, and penalties for the dirty and wasteful. We have the laws to begin this process. We have the technologies to make it a reality. And so we have a decision to make, as a people, as a country, about how we want to proceed.
We have made changes in the past: we responded to the anti-littering campaign of the sixties and seventies by changing how we behave, cleaning up the litter from streets and roads and rivers seemingly overnight. We woke up and changed on smoking, and drinking and driving, too. Climate is the biggest challenge we have faced since World War II, but America has a history of rising to such challenges. We just need to figure out if we want to be the climate ostrich, or the hawk.
This entry was posted on April 27, 2009 at 9:43 pm and is filed under Book News, Endangered Species, Global Warming. You can subscribe via RSS 2.0 feed to this post's comments.
Tags: Eco Barons, Edward Humes, electric cars, Global Warming, global warming denial, Terry Tamminen
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April 28, 2009 at 10:05 pm
In reference to your blog post here: http://ecobarons.wordpress.com/2009/03/31/obama-out-conserves-bush-on-wilderness-but-lags-on-fuel-economy-species/
Guess what? In under 100 days, the Obama administration has revoked Bush-era rule that undermined the 1973 Endangered Species Act:
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2009/04/28/obama-administration-revokes-bush-era-rule-on-endangered-species/
As for fuel economy standards, Pres. Obama cannot do it by waving his hand,
but getting rid of Sen. Dingell and replacing him with Sen. Waxman was a big start in making sure legislation gets a chance.
April 28, 2009 at 10:16 pm
Yes, Alexandra, it is good news that the Obama Administration has restored the consultation requirement in Endangered Species Act cases, so that a full scientific review of possible threats to imperiled plants, animals and habitats is now back on the table.
Unfortunately, this was only part of former President Bush’s attempts to undermine endangered species protections. Still standing is a special rule attached to the finding that the polar bear is endangered because of climate change. The Bush rule takes off the table any consideration of greenhouse gas emissions as a threat to the polar bear and to its Arctic sea ice habitat. And since that IS the threat to the polar bear, that Bush rule basically dooms the polar bear and other species to extinction, and blocks an important legal tool against climate change.
President Obama only has a few days left to kill that Bush-era rule with a stoke of the pen. No indication was given today either way.
April 29, 2009 at 4:42 pm
Mr Humes:
You need to watch President Obama’s St. Louis townhall video on YouTube if you haven’t watched it live as I am right now. He’s addressing polar bears and climate change (“We can save the polar bears… and we can get control” of global warming) in a long answer to a fourth-grader’s question on what his administration is doing to be “environmentally-friendly”.
Spector’s return to the Democratic Party is good not only for healthcare reform but also cap-and-trade legislation.
BTW, have you considered contacting Team O science team? With your creds, I’d think you could get a sympathetic hearing regarding your concerns because I believe Obama officials have the same ones.
April 30, 2009 at 12:25 am
You said: “The Bush rule takes off the table any consideration of greenhouse gas emissions as a threat to the polar bear and to its Arctic sea ice habitat. And since that IS the threat to the polar bear, that Bush rule basically dooms the polar bear and other species to extinction, and blocks an important legal tool against climate change.
President Obama only has a few days left to kill that Bush-era rule with a stoke of the pen. No indication was given today either way.”
Have you seen this news?
“US Wants Mandatory Cuts In Greenhouse Gases Across The Globe In Major Environmental Policy Shift”: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/04/29/us-wants-mandatory-cuts-i_n_193112.html